China's love affair with cars seems increasingly to be turning its capital into a giant, nightmarish, gridlocked parking lot.
北京人与车之间的爱恋似乎正迅速将京城变为一个巨大的天然停车场,这种寸步难移的感觉简直就是一场噩梦。
Following news of a 10-day traffic jam outside Beijing that has stretched up to 100 kilometers long, state media on Tuesday reported that average driving speeds in the capital could drop below 15 kilometers an hour if residents keep on buying at the current rate of 2,000 new cars a day. At that pace, Beijing will have 7 million vehicles by 2015, according to the head of the Beijing Transportation Research Center, and the pace of movement will slow to what it was a decade or more ago when China was still the Bicycle Kingdom.
The problem is that Beijing's roads only have enough capacity to handle 6.7 million vehicles -- and that's assuming current restrictions stay in place, such as the one requiring private cars to keep off the road for one day a week.
The results of too many tires on too little road are a daily commuter crush that's among the worst in the world, comparable to New Delhi or Moscow and five times worse than America's capital of road rage, Los Angeles, according to a recent IBM study.
Beijing ranked top in the world for 'commuter pain,' beating out Mexico City and Johannesburg for master of misery, based on a measure of the economic and emotional toll of commuting, the IBM study showed -- even though the Chinese capital still has half the number of cars of a comparably sized city like Tokyo.
There's cause for optimism -- or at least faith in people's capacity for self-delusion. Despite worsening traffic conditions, Beijing drivers reported they thought things were improving.
That powerful optimism could explain why the truck drivers stuck in the monster jam outside Beijing didn't riot. Instead of insurrection, many of the drivers on the Beijing-Tibet Expressway -- mostly behind the wheels of freight trucks stuck -- kept busy playing cards and complaining about locals overcharging for food, according to state media.